The Suns have totaled 185 more points than their opponents this season (2.4 per game on average), and the Nuggets have scored 267 more points than their opponents (3.4 per game).Denver is the NBA’s 11th-ranked offense (115.9 PPG), while Phoenix is the fourth-ranked defense (111.3).The Suns are at the 17th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (113.7 PPG), while the Nuggets allow the eighth-fewest points per game (112.5) in the league.Phoenix has an ATS record of 33-17-2 and a 38-14 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 115.9 points. When it scores more than 111.3 points, Denver is 36-15-2 against the spread and 47-6 overall.The Nuggets put up just 4.6 more points per game (115.9) than the Suns give up (111.3).Denver has a 35-11-1 record against the spread and a 39-8 record overall when giving up fewer than 113.7 points.Phoenix has a 30-10-2 record against the spread and a 33-9 record overall when scoring more than 112.5 points.The Suns score 113.7 points per game, only 1.2 more points than the 112.5 the Nuggets give up.Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Denver has an implied win probability of 17.7%.Denver has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +464 or longer in two chances.Denver has won 47.4% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (9-10).Phoenix has an implied victory probability of 86.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.This year, Phoenix has won five of seven games when listed as at least -640 or better on the moneyline.Phoenix has come away with 35 wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.Nuggets at Suns odds, spread, & more Prediction Bet now! In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now! 21+, see for Terms and Conditions. Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.Ĭatch the excitement and bet with Tipico!ĭouble Down, Ohio! Deposit $200, Get $250. The Suns take the court as double-digit favorites against the Nuggets. This matchup is at 10:00 PM ET on TNT and BSAZ. The Phoenix Suns (44-35) will attempt to extend a six-game winning run when hosting the Denver Nuggets (52-27) on Thursday, Apat Footprint Center. Auto Racing / NASCAR Picks and Predictions.NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis.Marc Finn and Andres Waters contributed research. Statistical models by Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Neil Paine, Ryan Best and Holly Fuong. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of The NBA.ĭesign and development by Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Quality is determined by the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings importance measures how much the result will alter playoff projections the overall number is the average of the quality and importance values.ĭownload data. Elo ratings - which power the pure Elo forecast - are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. A team’s current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the team's next game. A team’s full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts - tracking injuries, trades, changes in playing time and other player transactions - to generate talent estimates for each team. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
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